FK Vardar vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
46.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
12º
10º
62
1º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 0
VAR
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
SME
46%
23%
31%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 1
BOK
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
MET
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
RAB
3 - 1
SHK
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
LSO
1 - 0
SHK
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 2
LSO
34%
26%
40%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 0
HLI
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
HLI
0 - 5
SHK
51%
23%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +2 |