FK Vardar vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
BEL
1 - 1
VAR
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 0
MAK
72%
18%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
KFV
0 - 4
VAR
11%
16%
74%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
REN
0 - 1
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SHK
2 - 2
VAR
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SHK
1 - 2
SHK
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
AKP
1 - 0
SHK
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
FKK
2 - 0
SHK
8%
14%
78%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SHK
0 - 0
POB
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SIL
1 - 1
SHK
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |