North Macedonia Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
FK Vardar vs Shkupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
AKP
0 - 2
VAR
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
ZEN
2 - 1
VAR
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
PEL
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
REN
2 - 5
VAR
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 0
FKS
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PEL
2 - 2
SHK
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2017 |
FKS
0 - 0
SHK
28%
30%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
SHK
4 - 1
REN
33%
29%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
SHK
0 - 1
SIL
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
RAB
1 - 0
SHK
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |