FK Vardar vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
AKP
1 - 0
VAR
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 5
SHK
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PEL
1 - 1
VAR
17%
26%
58%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
3 - 1
BEL
70%
20%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
KFV
2 - 2
VAR
6%
12%
82%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
REN
2 - 2
PEL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
REN
0 - 0
PEL
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 1
REN
30%
26%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
REN
1 - 3
MAK
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
OHR
0 - 4
REN
12%
17%
71%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |