North Macedonia Cup Final
Global 3-3
FK Vardar vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HTR
0 - 0
VAR
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
5 - 0
TET
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
BRE
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 0
SHK
48%
24%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 0
REN
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
REN
1 - 0
SHK
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 1
REN
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
REN
2 - 2
SIL
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
RAB
3 - 0
REN
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |