FK Vardar vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
TET
1 - 0
VAR
26%
29%
45%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
3 - 1
SIL
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 3
HTR
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
PEL
1 - 0
VAR
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 2
RAB
52%
27%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
REN
0 - 1
RAB
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
REN
2 - 0
RAB
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
REN
4 - 0
MIL
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
TET
0 - 1
REN
23%
28%
49%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
RAB
4 - 0
REN
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |