FK Vardar vs Pelister analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
VAR
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
RAB
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 0
BRE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MET
3 - 2
VAR
44%
30%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
6 - 1
SHK
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pelister
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
PEL
1 - 1
HTR
28%
29%
43%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
PEL
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
HTR
2 - 2
PEL
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PEL
2 - 1
SIL
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
DRI
1 - 1
PEL
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |