FK Vardar vs Napredok Kičevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
PEL
1 - 0
VAR
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
TET
2 - 1
VAR
58%
25%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
FKS
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
SIL
0 - 1
VAR
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRE
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Napredok Kičevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 3
FKS
48%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2011 |
SIL
2 - 1
NAP
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NAP
0 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SHK
4 - 1
NAP
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
NAP
0 - 2
MET
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |