Qualif. Champions Segunda Ronda Final
Global 4-2
FK Vardar vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
49.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
MFF
1 - 1
VAR
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
VAR
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
AWM
0 - 2
VAR
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 0
SIL
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
PEL
2 - 3
VAR
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
MFF
3 - 3
SIR
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
MFF
1 - 1
VAR
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
HÄC
0 - 1
MFF
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
MFF
3 - 2
AFC
71%
20%
9%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
MFF
1 - 1
LOK
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |