FK Vardar vs Makedonija GP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
12º
10º
32
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 3
VAR
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AKP
2 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
VOK
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RAB
2 - 0
VAR
46%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCS
21%
27%
52%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 2
VOK
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 1
MAK
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAK
0 - 1
FCS
24%
28%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MAK
2 - 1
VOK
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 1
MAK
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |