FK Vardar vs Makedonija GP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
44.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
12º
10º
32
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
SIL
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VOK
3 - 2
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
SHK
26%
28%
46%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 0
VAR
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 2
MAK
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 0
SHK
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
RAB
1 - 0
MAK
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 0
BRE
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TIK
1 - 0
MAK
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |