Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 0-9
FK Vardar vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
43.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1999 |
VAR
0 - 1
JUG
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
CEM
3 - 1
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
OSO
0 - 2
VAR
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 2
POB
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1999 |
MAK
0 - 3
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
AMI
1 - 2
WAR
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
WAR
2 - 2
ZAL
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
GÓR
2 - 2
WAR
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 1999 |
WAR
0 - 0
LKS
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
WAR
3 - 0
POL
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |