FK Vardar vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
52.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
12º
10º
64
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
SHK
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 0
VAR
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
RAB
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 1
VOK
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
RAB
1 - 2
FCS
26%
28%
47%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 1
AKP
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 1
MAK
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SIL
0 - 0
FCS
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |