FK Vardar vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
51.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
8º
12º
10º
64
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
VOK
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 0
VAR
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
4 - 0
VAR
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 0
AKP
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
MAK
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
AKP
2 - 1
FCS
31%
29%
41%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 1
SHK
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
FCS
4 - 0
VAR
63%
23%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 1
FCS
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
VOK
0 - 0
FCS
28%
25%
47%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |