Europa League 1/16
Global 1-3
FK Vardar vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
50.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
DUN
2 - 0
VAR
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 0
DBU
43%
24%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
DBU
2 - 1
VAR
79%
13%
9%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1961 |
VAR
2 - 0
DUN
44%
21%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
DUN
5 - 0
VAR
68%
15%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
DUN
1 - 1
HOM
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
CEL
0 - 3
DUN
57%
23%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
DUN
2 - 0
VAR
86%
9%
5%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
ABE
3 - 2
DUN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1985 |
DUN
1 - 1
GLA
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |