Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 1-2
FK Vardar vs Békéscsaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
VAR
0 - 3
FCP
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
FCP
3 - 0
VAR
94%
5%
2%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 1
DUN
26%
24%
51%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
DUN
2 - 0
VAR
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
VAR
1 - 0
DBU
43%
24%
34%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Békéscsaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1994 |
BEK
2 - 1
VAS
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1990 |
CSE
2 - 0
BEK
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 May. 1990 |
BEK
1 - 4
UJP
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1990 |
BFC
1 - 0
BEK
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
BEK
1 - 0
FHV
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +2 |