Qualif. Champions Primera ronda Final
Global 4-2
FK Vardar vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
27.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAR
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
VAR
6 - 2
TIK
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
VAR
4 - 3
POB
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
SIL
0 - 1
VAR
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 1
RAB
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
BAR
5 - 1
ABE
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 1
CWM
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
OSW
0 - 4
BAR
22%
24%
54%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
BAR
3 - 0
CAR
69%
18%
12%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 0
LID
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |