FK Vardar vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FKB
0 - 2
VAR
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FCS
2 - 2
VAR
27%
29%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VAR
3 - 3
REN
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
AKP
1 - 0
VAR
27%
25%
48%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 5
SHK
27%
26%
48%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
AKP
2 - 1
SHK
31%
26%
44%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AKP
3 - 2
PEL
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
AKP
1 - 2
BEL
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAK
3 - 1
AKP
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
AKP
1 - 0
VAR
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |