FK Vardar vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
MAK
2 - 1
VAR
16%
20%
65%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
POB
0 - 1
VAR
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 0
SIL
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
RAB
0 - 2
VAR
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAK
78%
15%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
AKP
0 - 1
BRE
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
AKP
0 - 0
SHK
14%
23%
63%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
AKP
0 - 2
REN
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
POB
2 - 4
AKP
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 6
AKP
10%
13%
77%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |