FK Vardar vs 11 Oktomvri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 0
HTR
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
11O
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
MET
1 - 1
VAR
47%
29%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
SHK
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
TIK
0 - 1
VAR
25%
25%
51%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
11 Oktomvri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BRE
2 - 0
11O
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
11O
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
11O
1 - 2
SIL
37%
28%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
OHR
1 - 1
11O
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
FKS
2 - 0
11O
41%
25%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |