UEFA Youth League 1/64
Global 0-8
Vardar Sub 19 vs Salzburg Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
74.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vardar Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
RBS
5 - 0
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Salzburg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
RBS
5 - 0
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
RBS
0 - 4
ROM
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2015 |
RBS
5 - 1
BES
33%
23%
43%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
BES
1 - 0
RBS
57%
22%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
ZEL
2 - 1
RBS
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |