Vardar Negotino vs Osogovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
14º
12º
8
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 69 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 63 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 59 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 56 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 50 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 47 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 45 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 43 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 41 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 32 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 23 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 17 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 14 |
16º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85% | 27% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13.5% | 46% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 27% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vardar Negotino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
VAN
1 - 3
FKS
34%
26%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
TIK
4 - 0
VAN
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 0
VAN
54%
23%
24%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARE
5 - 1
VAN
63%
20%
16%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
VAN
6 - 1
VAR
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Osogovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
OSO
1 - 2
BAS
15%
19%
66%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
OSO
0 - 1
SAS
26%
24%
51%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 1
OSO
13%
17%
69%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
OSO
1 - 3
SAS
28%
24%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
NOV
5 - 0
OSO
50%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |