Vardar Negotino vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
67.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vardar Negotino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 1
VAN
48%
25%
26%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 2
BEL
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OSO
1 - 2
VAN
45%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 0
FKS
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 3
KGE
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 2
BES
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 0
AKP
62%
23%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
0 - 2
SHK
29%
26%
44%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
4 - 0
AKP
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 1
VAR
54%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |