Kisvárda vs Paksi FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
12º
11º
58
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kisvárda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MEZ
1 - 2
VAR
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
PUS
31%
27%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 2
FHV
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
FTC
26%
26%
49%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 2
KAI
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Paksi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
PAK
3 - 4
ZTE
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PAK
1 - 0
KTE
59%
21%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MEZ
0 - 1
PAK
18%
20%
63%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 1
PUS
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 0
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |