Vard vs Vidar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
2 - 0
VAR
27%
23%
50%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FYL
0 - 0
VAR
21%
21%
57%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 3
ALG
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 2
VAR
25%
22%
53%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 1
ASA
57%
21%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Vidar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
VID
4 - 0
EID
47%
23%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
VID
6 - 0
FYL
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
FLO
3 - 1
VID
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
VID
1 - 1
STO
58%
20%
22%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
ALG
1 - 2
VID
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |