Vard vs Stord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
FYL
1 - 1
VAR
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 3
FLO
74%
16%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 3
VKG
13%
18%
69%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NES
2 - 1
VAR
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
4 - 1
VID
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Stord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
STO
0 - 4
EGE
23%
23%
55%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
STO
1 - 3
LOR
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FYL
1 - 2
STO
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
STO
3 - 6
FLO
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2016 |
STO
1 - 8
HAU
10%
17%
72%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | -1 |