Vard vs Notodden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
SOL
1 - 4
VAR
25%
24%
52%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NES
3 - 0
VAR
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 1
HOD
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
VID
2 - 0
VAR
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
HAU
2 - 0
VAR
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
HIF
1 - 2
NOT
10%
15%
75%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NOT
0 - 1
EGE
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
HON
2 - 2
NOT
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
NOT
5 - 1
BAR
40%
23%
38%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 1
POR
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |