Vard vs Nest-Sotra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
48.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
HOD
0 - 2
VAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
FAN
1 - 1
VAR
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 2
ODD
56%
21%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
BRY
2 - 0
VAR
67%
19%
13%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 3
FRA
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nest-Sotra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
NES
1 - 1
EGE
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
NES
6 - 1
HON
78%
15%
8%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
BYA
2 - 3
NES
17%
21%
62%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
NES
1 - 0
VIN
74%
16%
11%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
VID
1 - 0
NES
20%
22%
59%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |