Vard vs Nardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
KJE
2 - 1
VAR
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
VAR
0 - 1
45%
23%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SKE
5 - 0
VAR
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
VAR
1 - 4
FKA
38%
23%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HOD
0 - 0
VAR
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
NAR
1 - 2
STB
47%
24%
30%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BRY
3 - 3
NAR
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
KJE
2 - 1
NAR
57%
22%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NAR
3 - 2
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SKE
3 - 0
NAR
77%
15%
9%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |