Vard vs Lysekloster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
VAR
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
VAR
8 - 2
FRI
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
LOR
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
EGE
0 - 0
VAR
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
STO
83%
12%
6%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lysekloster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
LYS
1 - 0
EGE
28%
24%
49%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
STO
2 - 3
LYS
45%
20%
35%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
LYS
3 - 1
FYL
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
FLO
1 - 3
LYS
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
LYS
0 - 9
NES
14%
18%
68%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |