Vard vs IK Start analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
BRY
4 - 0
VAR
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
SDF
22%
22%
56%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MOS
2 - 1
VAR
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
RAU
0 - 1
VAR
81%
12%
7%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 1
TRO
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
IK Start
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
IKS
2 - 1
RAU
44%
24%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
TRO
0 - 1
IKS
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
IKS
4 - 1
HOD
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MAN
1 - 4
IKS
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
IKS
4 - 0
POR
61%
20%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |