Vard vs Hødd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
11º
8º
49
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 59 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 50 |
2º
|
57% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 48 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 45 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 41 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 35 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 33 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
62.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 20 |
14º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 96.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
LYS
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
VAR
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 4
ORN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FFC
2 - 3
VAR
32%
24%
43%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Hødd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HOD
3 - 1
ORN
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 6
HOD
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HOD
3 - 2
LYS
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
1 - 3
HOD
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HOD
1 - 0
ETO
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |