Vard vs Frigg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
LOR
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
EGE
0 - 0
VAR
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
STO
83%
12%
6%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FYL
1 - 1
VAR
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 3
FLO
74%
16%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
FRI
0 - 2
EGE
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
STO
1 - 1
FRI
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
FRI
1 - 0
FYL
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FLO
5 - 2
FRI
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FRI
0 - 2
NES
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | 0 |