Vard vs Fana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ODD
2 - 0
VAR
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 2
VAR
56%
22%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 2
BRY
31%
25%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
NAR
70%
17%
12%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
3 - 2
EGE
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FAN
0 - 1
EGE
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
HON
5 - 0
FAN
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FAN
2 - 0
BYA
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
VIN
1 - 3
FAN
67%
18%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FAN
2 - 5
VID
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |