Vard vs Eik Tønsberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
11º
7º
33
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 57 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 48 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 34 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 32 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 27 |
12º
|
59% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 25 |
13º
|
75% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
BRA
7 - 3
VAR
42%
23%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIK
31%
23%
47%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HOD
2 - 1
VAR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 1
NOT
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KVI
1 - 3
VAR
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Eik Tønsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ORN
3 - 2
ETO
29%
24%
47%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 2
JER
46%
23%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 0
SSK
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 4
ETO
30%
23%
47%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |