Vard vs Eik Tønsberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
11º
8º
45
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
BRA
7 - 3
VAR
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIK
31%
23%
47%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HOD
2 - 1
VAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 1
NOT
42%
24%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
KVI
1 - 3
VAR
37%
24%
39%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Eik Tønsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
BRA
58%
21%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ORN
3 - 2
ETO
29%
24%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ETO
3 - 2
JER
46%
23%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 0
SSK
46%
23%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 4
ETO
30%
23%
47%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |