Vard vs Egersund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LYN
2 - 3
VAR
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
VID
75%
15%
10%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 5
VAR
22%
21%
56%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
STA
75%
15%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FYL
2 - 1
VAR
25%
23%
52%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Egersund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
EGE
2 - 1
GRO
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
EGE
2 - 0
LYN
31%
23%
46%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VID
1 - 1
EGE
50%
23%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
EGE
2 - 0
BRA
51%
22%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
STA
2 - 0
EGE
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |