Vard vs Byåsen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VIN
3 - 1
VAR
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
VID
58%
20%
22%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 1
VAR
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 3
NES
29%
23%
48%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
HOD
0 - 2
VAR
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Byåsen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BYA
1 - 1
EGE
30%
26%
45%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
HON
2 - 0
BYA
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BYA
0 - 1
NAR
45%
25%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BYA
1 - 2
VIN
39%
23%
39%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
VID
2 - 0
BYA
62%
19%
19%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |