Vard vs Bryne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
FYL
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FLO
4 - 2
VAR
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
OTF
1 - 2
VAR
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 1
STO
82%
12%
7%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
BRY
3 - 5
VAR
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bryne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
HAM
0 - 2
BRY
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
BRY
1 - 3
SDF
43%
25%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BRY
2 - 0
TRO
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
KLE
1 - 4
BRY
12%
18%
70%
|
56 | 24 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
RAN
1 - 1
BRY
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |