Vard vs Brann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
45%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
11º
8º
34
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 57 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 48 |
2º
|
71% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 46 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 42 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 40 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 38 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 35 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 31 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 27 |
12º
|
49.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 25 |
13º
|
66.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
89.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SSK
4 - 0
VAR
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
HOD
17%
23%
60%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
LYS
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 1
VAR
62%
20%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 4
ORN
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
ORN
67%
18%
14%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 2
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BRA
3 - 1
FKA
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 2
BRA
60%
20%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
FFC
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |