Vard vs Aalesunds FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
KON
6 - 1
VAR
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 3
HON
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
IKS
4 - 2
VAR
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRY
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 4
MOS
39%
24%
36%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aalesunds FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ELP
1 - 0
RAU
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
TRO
3 - 1
ELP
17%
23%
60%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ELP
1 - 2
HOD
75%
16%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
MAN
3 - 2
ELP
31%
25%
43%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
STR
2 - 4
ELP
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |