Varbergs BoIS vs Utsiktens BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
16º
11º
30
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
41 | 55 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
42 | 55 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 51 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 49 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 47 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 44 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 40 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 35 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 35 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 31 |
15º
|
28% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
68% | 96% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28.5% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 4
VAR
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
SIM
1 - 3
VAR
5%
13%
82%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
3 - 0
GIF
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
GEF
0 - 4
VAR
44%
25%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 3
HEL
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Utsiktens BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
UTS
3 - 2
ORE
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SME
1 - 2
UTS
8%
16%
75%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
IKO
2 - 1
UTS
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
UTS
0 - 2
TRE
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
GIF
1 - 0
UTS
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |