Varbergs BoIS vs Orebro SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
9º
16º
13º
28
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 58 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 53 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 52 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 47 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 41 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 40 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 31 |
15º
|
32.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 29 |
16º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
51.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
39% | 25.5% |
|
Relegation
|
9.5% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
IKB
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
SKO
2 - 2
VAR
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
IKO
3 - 2
VAR
34%
26%
41%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
UTS
47%
25%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 4
VAR
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Orebro SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
IKO
0 - 0
ORE
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 0
SAN
28%
25%
46%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 1
ORE
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
0 - 0
GIF
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
UTS
3 - 2
ORE
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |