Varbergs BoIS vs IFK Göteborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
54.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
16º
16º
34
10º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varbergs BoIS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
NOR
4 - 3
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 1
DEG
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MFF
5 - 0
VAR
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
DJU
18%
26%
56%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
ELF
2 - 1
VAR
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
GÖT
1 - 1
AIK
34%
27%
40%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
GÖT
1 - 2
ELF
30%
25%
44%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
IFK
3 - 1
GÖT
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GÖT
0 - 1
SIR
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HIF
1 - 1
GÖT
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |