Vannes vs Saint-Lô Manche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
14.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
14º
6º
16
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 53 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 49 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 43 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 35 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 35 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 23 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 12% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 80% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 3
VAN
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 2
STA
27%
24%
50%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SPM
3 - 0
VAN
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
STA
4 - 1
VAN
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 2
STA
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Lô Manche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SAI
3 - 3
USF
44%
23%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PLA
1 - 1
SAI
65%
18%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 0
ERG
62%
19%
19%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LAT
2 - 0
SAI
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 2
DIN
12%
20%
68%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | 0 |