Vannes vs Pontivy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
12º
9º
37
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 1
VAN
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 0
ERG
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PLA
3 - 1
VAN
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VAN
10 - 1
CPB
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 12 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LAN
2 - 1
VAN
27%
22%
52%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pontivy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
STA
17%
23%
60%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
STA
2 - 3
PON
22%
23%
56%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
PON
0 - 2
SBR
66%
19%
16%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
USF
1 - 2
PON
45%
24%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
PON
0 - 2
VIT
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |