Vannes vs Lannion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
14º
6º
14
4º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 53 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 53 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 49 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 43 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
|
5º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 35 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 35 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
11º
|
19.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 23 |
14º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
6% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 48% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
CES
1 - 0
VAN
29%
22%
50%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
STA
0 - 0
VAN
60%
20%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
VAN
0 - 2
GUI
37%
25%
39%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VAN
3 - 3
AFV
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PON
1 - 2
VAN
31%
24%
46%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lannion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LAN
3 - 0
USF
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
ERG
1 - 1
LAN
32%
22%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LAN
2 - 1
LOR
11%
20%
70%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | +5 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SAI
2 - 1
LAN
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
LAN
0 - 1
FLE
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |