Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-8
Vanløse vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
65.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanløse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
VAN
93%
5%
2%
|
42 | 88 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
LEX
1 - 2
SLB
13%
23%
63%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
SLB
2 - 2
OLH
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
VAN
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 42 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 4
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
BEL
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |