Vänersborgs FK vs Motala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
7º
31
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 41 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 40 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 40 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 38 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 37 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 28 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
40% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 25 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 23 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 20 |
14º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vänersborgs FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
STE
1 - 3
VFK
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
VFK
1 - 2
SKO
30%
24%
47%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 0
VFK
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
VFK
2 - 3
AIF
19%
22%
59%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BKF
0 - 2
VFK
53%
21%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Motala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
LID
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 3
STE
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
SKO
4 - 2
MOT
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MOT
5 - 5
GRE
77%
14%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AIF
6 - 0
MOT
29%
25%
47%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |