Vänersborgs FK vs BK Forward analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
49.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
8º
14º
10º
31
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 32 |
7º
|
65% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
34.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 28 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 26 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
78% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vänersborgs FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
STE
1 - 1
VFK
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VFK
0 - 0
GAU
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
VFK
5 - 4
GRE
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 3
VFK
49%
22%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SKS
0 - 1
VFK
58%
20%
22%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
BK Forward
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BKF
1 - 3
TIK
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SKO
3 - 2
BKF
45%
22%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FBK
4 - 1
BKF
48%
21%
31%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BKF
2 - 1
HER
56%
19%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BKF
2 - 0
LID
48%
21%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |