Vänersborgs IF vs Gauthiod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
14º
11º
24
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vänersborgs IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
HER
4 - 1
VAN
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
KUM
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VFK
1 - 1
VAN
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
MOT
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
VAN
21%
24%
54%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gauthiod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
GAU
2 - 3
SKS
56%
20%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
GAU
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 52 | 24 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
LID
1 - 1
GAU
67%
19%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GAU
0 - 2
HER
38%
21%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KUM
2 - 0
GAU
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |